ysabetwordsmith: Cartoon of me in Wordsmith persona (Default)
[personal profile] ysabetwordsmith
I have said for some time that the current hurricane scale, which has 5 categories, is insufficient and needs a Category 6. Looking at the actual numbers on the scale and in recorded storms, this turns out to be insufficient also. It doesn't need one more category, it needs TWO.


The current categories average a range of about 20, some lower, some higher. Positing a scale that uses categories of similar size would yield something like:

Category 1 = 74-95 mph (range of 22)
Category 2 = 96-110 mph (range of 15)
Category 3 = 111-129 mph (range of 19)
Category 4 = 130-156 mph (range of 27)
Category 5 = 157+ mph [new 157-176] (standard range of 20)
Category 6 = 177-196 mph
Category 7 = 197-216 mph

At that, the revised scale would just barely cover Hurricane Patricia's ominous 215 mph peak sustained wind speed. O_O That means we should be ready to activate Category 8 (217-236 mph) in the foreseeable future.

Now, the government doesn't want to panic people, or get blamed for the fact that climate change is making hurricanes a lot more violent than they used to be and also now clustering. But wouldn't it be useful to know that the official "Category 5" now contains a wider range (58) than Categories 3 and 4 combined (46)? (Some people may argue that we only need three action-based categories: Ignore It, Batten the Hatches, and Run For Your Lives.) Happily, the forecasts customarily include the actual wind speed, so you can simply adjust the scale on your own.

Of course, wind speed isn't the only thing that makes a hurricane dangerous. As mentioned, clustering means they are now more likely to come in twos or threes. Even a sideswipe by a later storm after the first storm has cracked open a city will be more devastating. Global warming seems to increase the storms that show rapid intensification, which can turn a minor storm into a major one with little warning. Rising sea levels boost storm surges. Warmer air also means that hurricanes can dump more rain. Storm surge and rainfall make even the lower categories more destructive.

Don't expect the politicians and the people they direct to give reliable interpretations. Be glad that pretty accurate weather information is available for you to analyze yourself. Here's a list of weather apps and weather websites with varying degrees of detail. For the hardcore weather nerds, you can also get raw data. Explore the parts of a text Hurricane Forecast/Advisory.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-04-30 04:34 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I'll argue that there are different evacuation settings for:
- running would be good (likely individual choice)
- organized retreat (likely organized/mandated on a mass scale)
- GETOUTGETOUTGETOUTGETOUT...! (At this point, you're evac-ing folks under the "as many as can fit, regulations be dammned," and also, it'll probably be random Heroic Bystanders hauling ass and collecting hangers-on, rather than anything official)

Cynically there'd also likely be a "We doomed no matter what" setting...but if we make that one official, we'll likely get a Screw the Rules, It's the Apocalypse.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-04-30 05:51 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
>>It would be more effective if the government was actually trustworthy.<<

It would be more effective if the government facilitated transport (including medically-compatible transport) and housing at destinations.

I live with someone who has very specific medical needs for everything from vehicle accessibility to adaptive equipment to /specific features on a bed/. Evac plans must and do factor in these needs...

Less dramatically, pets, babies and old folks will have different needs than an able-bodied adult. Fortunately 'people with pet cats' and 'people with young children's will be numerous enough, and have similar enough needs that it is easier to plan for then individual medically-fragile persons.

>>Time to hotwire a bus. \o/ <<

...and pray they don't shoot you for looting. (Have a respectable-looking person do the hotwiring or supply runs, if you can. Preferably not single parents, caretakers, or medical personnel if you can avoid it.)

Historical examples would include Dunkirk, the 9/11 evacuation of Manhattan, the Cajun Navy and the Great Needlework Drives of just last year.

And anyone who wants to object, can kindly offer a better alternative, thank-you very much. [Crickets] No-one? All right then, let's move!

(no subject)

Date: 2021-04-30 11:24 am (UTC)
siliconshaman: black cat against the moon (Default)
From: [personal profile] siliconshaman

I'd suggest a revision of the classification system too.. wind speed is not the only factor determining how dangerous a storm is. Size matters. Speed too... both determine how long this storm is going to grind away at an area, and how far you have to run or even if you can out run it.

I would suggest combining spread and velocity so as not to overload people. Dividing spread by velocity of the system. So you'd have things like a Cat 5,10 (sustained windspeed of 160. 300 miles wide and moving at 30 miles an hour)

Although...kind of wish we could work in a Stormageddon in there...

(no subject)

Date: 2021-04-30 04:26 pm (UTC)
kengr: (Default)
From: [personal profile] kengr
It's actually *worse* than that. Wind effects don't go up *linearly* with velocity. More like the square of the velocity if I recall correctly.

Time for a re-read of John Barnes's Mother of All Storms

(no subject)

Date: 2021-04-30 05:13 pm (UTC)
erulisse: (Default)
From: [personal profile] erulisse
And this would be a good portion of why we left Houston.....

(no subject)

Date: 2021-04-30 07:50 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
And that explains in a nut shell why I want to get out of a coastal state. Of course, I have no idea where to go. It seems like there's no place to go now.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-04-30 08:41 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Assuming you are in the continental US, I'd suggest:

A) Inland (to avoid hurricanes, costal flooding and tsunamis)

B) Away from fault lines (this eliminates much of the West Coast, also the midwest fault line is becoming active again)

C) Head north (to avoid heat, but be aware the Great Lakes region has some wicked cold snaps)

D) Lastly, pay attention to assorted regional stuff:
- Will the local river flood, and if so how badly?
- Is there a dam upriver?
- Is there a nuclear plant in the area? Are you in a possible fallout zone?
- Are there specific disasters common to your location? (Tornadoes, wildfires, landslides, dangerous wildlife...)
- How close are you to a city? Compare your need for city services vs the likelihood of Invading Refugees during a crisis/collapse.
- Are you a good fit for the local culture?
- How much can you plan for or live with any of these things?

E) Also, look at infrastructure - roads, medical care, utilities, communications. Do they fit your needs? How much damage can they take before being knocked out? Can you live with that?

F) If planning for an apocalypse / societal collapse, you'll want to check other things (local production of necessities, social net, defensibility...) but that's a whole different list.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-04-30 08:46 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Personally, I'd go for the Northeast, a bit inland - colder, can keep heading north if need be, away from cities, has mountains and nature, and I can live with the occasional polar vortex. Plus there are several lake and river systems that make for good transport if the roads go down, and they don't seem to have too many big storms.

Overseas? Iceland and Northern Europe might be a good bet, with Europe having the added benefit of making a run for the border if everything goes wrong...of course then everyone in Eurasia can do that, so Icelend might be a better bet...

(no subject)

Date: 2021-04-30 10:56 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
Thank you so much. I'm in Florida, so this is perfect. I've been thinking about my home state, which is probably not a great idea. I hadn't realized that our friendly neighborhood fault line has woken up. I grew-up in Indiana and I've been in 3 or 4 earthquakes. Nothing big, but enough to feel. I know it's way over due for a big earthquake. It can't be 1good when you consider that fault line turned around the Mississippi River and rang church bells in Boston in the 1800s. I don't remember the exact year. I just remember watching a documentary once. I'm bookmarking this. Thanks again.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-05-01 12:48 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
You're welcome.

Another thought: I have heard that the panhandle part of FL is more stable than the peninsula part; I actually know people who chose (when moving to FL) to go to the northernmost parts where all the hurricane evacuees go. (I have suggested they not buy any more property...)

If a cross-country move is not currently feaseable, a northward move might be a slight improvement?

I don't know the specifics of your situation: resources, limitations, other long-term goals etc, so you have to decide for you, but I thought I'd mention it.

Re: Well ...

Date: 2021-05-01 09:22 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
The further north-and-inland the safer you are. Hopefully even a bit more distance will dull a storm/flood a bit.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-05-02 09:19 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
I live in the north central part where evacuees go. Good news is that I'm too far away from storm surge, but can still get high winds, flooding and tornadoes. Fortunately, I'm not currently in a flood plane. The last big hurricane took out a lot of power. We had power at the house, thankfully, but the stop and go lights were out for days and we were on a generator at work. Most of the houses around where I worked had no power for two weeks. I felt guilty for having power at home.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-05-03 12:42 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
If it happens again, and you are so inclined, you could offer to let folks charge phones and medical devices.

Or let people you know well enough heat soup in your kitchen...

Well, assuming your neighbors aren't jerks, anyway.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-05-03 01:01 am (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
I worked an hour from where I lived, so unfortunately that wouldn't have helped in that case, but if it had happened with the neighbors we would have. We know the neighbors on each side and some down the street and around the corner. My co-workers who worked closer to work could at least take advantage of the plugs at work. It was awful at work. So many people without power. The energy company in that town should have been ashamed of itself. They have a reputation for being a joke. That's the other thing I want to try to look in before I move--where the power comes from.

Re: Yes ...

Date: 2021-05-03 04:03 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
There are solar battery chargers too. And flashlights/headlamps if planning for power outages.

I've made a necklace out of a pocket flashlight - good for wandering around at night w/o turning out the lights. Just be careful - it doesn't always show what's right by your feet.

Re: Yes ...

Date: 2021-05-03 04:05 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Oh, and I've heard it suggested that an electric car could be used as a big battery in a pinch.

Re: Yes ...

Date: 2021-05-03 03:46 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
Living off the grid as much as possible would be nice. I draw the line at plumbing, though. Hopefully one of these years I can I change to an electric car. I've been thinking I should have put off the trade-ins until this year. I've been wanting to see the new VW bus. I have a felling that''s going to be out of my price range. It's probably more car than I need anyway.

Re: Yes ...

Date: 2021-05-03 04:38 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
The 2024 looks pricey, by my standards.

I've heard something about a conversion kit for older models, but if you're going to be driving an antique you'd better be friendly with the local mechanic (or be one yourself!)

Also be sure to factor in parts/repairs - some older or imported cars might use less-standard parts that are hard to source.

Re: Yes ...

Date: 2021-05-04 04:17 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Speaking of campers, I've mused on the possibility of using a cargo trailer as a camper.

Either get an enclosed one and modify it to lock on the inside (and check airflow!) Or get an open-air one and cover with a tarp. Kind of like a modern covered wagon - cargo and sleeping space.

Plus when you're /not/ using it to camp, you have all the advantages of a pickup truck without having to worry about limited seating, gas mileage, driving an oversized vehicle...

Re: Yes ...

Date: 2021-05-06 04:33 pm (UTC)
From: [personal profile] fianna9
Look at old school buses too. Those can make large campers for families.

Re: Yes ...

Date: 2021-05-04 12:24 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Older vehicles are less likely to have random bugs - or the ones they do have will be more easily fixable.

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-02 09:01 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
I've been contemplating fleeing if I can figure out how to do that. I've been looking online for house, condo and apartment prices. Housing prices are alarming, not that I'm all that surprised.

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-02 09:50 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Some jobs offer relocation assistance, if you've got the right skillset.

Might be a long shot, but...

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-02 11:23 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
Unfortunately, that's not my situation. I never thought I'd be starting over in my 50s, but considering the pandemic I know I'm not alone. I don't remember the number that I saw the other day, but a huge number of women had to give up their jobs during this crazy time.

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-03 02:30 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
They are saying women's rights have been set back by what a decade? Two?

I'm a younger person, and all if this makes me even less enthused about a career in the traditional sense - "Come work for me and I'll pay you terribly while restricting your free time, and dont you dare complain, you should be grateful to be working at all!" Ugh.

And 'give up'? That sounds kind of like a choice...maybe we should say 'forced out' instead.

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-03 04:18 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I think the issue with women's rights specifically is largely that when schools closed, someone had to stay home with the kids and that was mostly women. (Not helped by the fact that grandparents were advised to stay away from...well, everyone.)

Granted, some of the industries that closed were likely predominantly women, and women are more likely to be badly affected by economic hits due to wage disparities the whole glass ceiling/glass elevator thing.

As for the work in general...Godzilla Threshold? Personally, I'm mostly annoyed with:

a) 'poverty is due to laziness, and lazy people deserve to suffer' ... when crossed with the current economic / public health situation where people can't find work or can't find work that wont kill them/their relatives

b) medical advice and economic necessity at odds (this is not a new issue)

c) insisting that essential workers are greedy for wanting pay raises (which was actually discussed in 1351 after the Black Death killed off a chunk of the English serfs)

d) and while we're at it, I wish people would stop screaming at each other - we're all scared, we're all having a hard time, but even if we disagree, we're all mostly trying to do the right thing as best as we can. [Comment directed at the world in general, not anyone specific...]

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-03 04:16 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
I think forced out is the better term.

I've been thinking about what to do that isn't traditional. Since I'm starting over, then I should do something I love and not just put up with.

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-03 04:42 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Favorite hobbies? Or anything you've developed skills in and can mentor/consult? (And they're not all obvious: customer service -> peacemaking & deescelation & negotiation, for example.)

I've been toying with writing or art, but havent mustered up the motivation to start anything. (I had a relative who fed his family by making & selling his art through the Great Depression, so it is possible to make a living that way...if somewhat difficult.)

I've also got a crazy idea for a sewing pattern I could try to develop...

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-03 10:52 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
I've actually got a book that I need to get to. It's about turning your hobbies into a job.

The sewing pattern idea is cool. I know people sell those on Etsy, so not so crazy.

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-04 12:25 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Huh. I did not know that. Thanks!

Re: O_O

Date: 2021-05-04 03:19 am (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
You're welcome. I didn't either until I went looking for fabric scraps.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-04-30 11:11 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
Thank you. I'm going to bookmark this as well. There is so much to think about. More than I was taking into account recently. I've been worried about water and fire more than anything else. I keep wondering why there isn't more dome building. It makes the most sense especially when you consider the hurricanes.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 01:40 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
>>If you look around online, or ask a librarian for help, you will see that many people have been mulling over these problems. So you can sift their materials for what you need.<<

This is a good place to crowdsource problems. We've got a lot of smart people here!

:)

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 03:45 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
The intellectual offerings are very good!

And I did lurk about a bit before decloaking enough to leave comments - I'm usually fairly leery of internet commenting.

I think this is one of the four nicest [comment-filled] places I've found on the internet so far.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 04:25 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
:)

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-02 09:42 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
The monolithic style is so cool. I would think you'd have to free float an island and put the cabinets in it.

I've also thought about having a house built out of shipping containers. If they can take an ocean voyage that might be an idea as well. I suppose it doesn't matter if I can get out of this ridiculous state.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-03 04:23 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
I like the idea of a composting toilet, but I don't know if I have the stomach for that.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-03 10:39 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
Thanks for the link.

I love the idea of a tiny house. I miss the tiny house shows that used to be on HGTV and the like. My only issue is that I need one that doesn't have a loft. I'm getting too old for that.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-03 11:00 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
These are adorable. I have been thinking about ADA for down the road. I am not getting any younger.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-03 11:10 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
It's a little bit funny, but shouldn't be. My Mom tried thinking ahead when she and my Dad built the house that I'm living in right now. She made sure that the doorways and hallways were built wide enough to accommodate a wheelchair, but there is no way that you could get a wheelchair into the bathroom. There is a lip on the shower and a ridiculous sized bathtub across from the shower door. I don't know what she was thinking.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-04 12:39 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Always ask someone with lived experience, if you can. (Disabilities, discrimination, safety...)

With wheelchairs, able-bodied folk often think of doorways and ramps... but will often forget or not think of things like doors that are inoperable by positioning of furniture, steepness of ramps, height of chairs being easier/harder to get into, the fact that cobblestones/brick/sand are inacessable, bathroom logistics, and so on.

Also, accommodations will be different for electric and manual chirs,as well as for different kinds of disability.

A paraplegic athlete has very different needs than, say, someone with severe TBI. Different patients with TBI can have an astonishing variety of mobility and ability.

(I am able-bodied, and picked up most of this info by social osmosis. Therefore, I've probably missed something...or several somethings.)

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-04 03:16 am (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
That's the odd thing. We used to bring my grandmother home from the nursing home for family dinners from time to time and dealing with her wheelchair in my childhood house was not easy. Apparently she forgot about that. But, it would be smart to ask the advice of someone who is actually in a wheelchair or at the very least a physical therapist.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-04 04:11 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
People I picked up this information from:

- physical therapist with auto mechanic and engineering training

- someone who has limited mobility [can only really use head & hands] and uses an electric wheelchair

- someone who is paraplegic (for reasons we ended up discussing various accessibility stuff)

- having discussions in cyberspace like this

If you are asking a wheelchair user, try asking someone with similar equipment and limitations. 'Impared mobility' occurs in a lot of different ways.

Granted, I'm used to crazy juryrigging stuff, and not having access to relevent resources (including experts.) Hmmm...I've heard of people crowdsourcing solutions/advice to problems on Reddit; maybe that would be an option?

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-04 04:31 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Yup. But I try to refrain from imposing unless:

a) it is a particularly fascinating discussion topic

b) it is relevent to a discussion that is already occurring

It seems more polite that way (as opposed to the whole 'treating smart people like vending machines' thing).

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-04 05:13 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Avoiding the whole 'ettiquite demands you stay in an akward conversation' stuff is one of the reasons I like these discussions. Plus I [introvert] have more time to formulate replies.

I'll still try to 'read the room' a bit, and either stick to conversations or acknowledge that I'm asking something out to left field.

And yeah, my brain accumulates a lot of really oddball ideas, musings and wonderings. (Digging through my brain can be like beachcombing after a storm.)

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-04 12:51 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
>>Cultural differences are interesting -- in some countries, people don't like soiling water, or find toilets less appealing than whatever traditional option.<<

One day I'll have to write a story with this as a Culture Clash.

Rude Person: "Why the hey are you teaching people how to go to the bathroom? Are y'all stupid?"
Explaining Person: "Nope, we just don't have bathrooms like this back home. And Janitor Joe will get really mad if someone breaks the bathroom...again."
RP: [Sarcastically] "You expect me to believe you don't have toilets?"
EP: "Nope!" [Cue matter of fact explanation of holes-in-the-ground as batherooms...
RP: [...and an increasingly weirded-out face from the rude person.]
EP: [Returns to explaining that toilets are safe, hygienic, not a place to put random garbage, and not a portal to the Underworld Realm of the Sewer King]

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-04 01:17 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
It never the obvious things that trip you up; it's always the things that are so obvious (or occasionally, akward) that no-one thinks to (or wants to) mention them.

For what it's worth, I think theres a whole class of cultural misunderstandings (and other akward things) that can be cleared up with a very matter-of-fact explanation. Assuming that's in your skillset, anyway. (And that the other person isn't just a jerk.)

...and it is a /great/ nonviolent way to make the story antagonist's life just that much more difficult. Bwahahaha!

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-06 04:39 pm (UTC)
From: [personal profile] fianna9
Like when I was in a mall in Japan not designed with tourists in minde. The bathrooms had a circle and a triangle on the door; no typical American stick figures. One was blue tile; one was green tile. My husband and I debated which one we were supposed to use.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-03 04:44 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Check out the anti-grafitti murals in Philadelphia.

For insulation, an underground house or something encased in dirt (like a hobbit-house) might help.

Given that shipping containers are metal, I might worry about rust. There is good anti-trust paint, but it is very pricey per can.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-03 02:31 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
There was a guy who built a nuclear fallout bunker by (I think) burying a bunch of school buses encased in concrete.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-03 03:54 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
I'm amazed by peoples creativity. I saw a couple of different people that built in nuclear launch silos. I don't know what you're supposed to do with that much space, but you'd be safe down there.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-03 10:47 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
It seems like such a cool idea. You could build an apartment building, I would think.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 12:43 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Hmmm...I wonder about the feasibility of Japanese-style on the West Coast (USA), given our lovely supervolcano. Might not be the best fit for ash fall and fires though...

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 01:39 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
More idle musing than anything else. I'm East Coast, and would ideally head north from here.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 02:03 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Hmmm...perhaps I should investigate the possibility of land investment.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 03:30 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I'm no millionaire, but it doesn't hurt to keep my eyes sharp and my wits quick.

And if a crowdsource investment came up, that might be more affordable.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 04:05 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Not sure I have the skills for same-house group living. Not sure I'm in a reliable place to asses that about myself either.

Lately, stuff is a mess for what I freely admit are Very Stupid Reasons; likely some mix of incompatibility and poor communication.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 04:27 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Well, if you've got a Big House to share for laundry, parties, etc, some tiny houses aren't too far off the size of a studio apartment, and I dont think that would be unreasonable for a single person. Especially if there were some outdoor offerings...

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 03:02 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I currently don't have kids or a partner, and while I do have some stuff, I am kinda deeply suspicious about acquiring too much given how often my generation moves.

In fact I keep thinking I should winnow down, minimalist-style, but I actually like my stuff and getting it down to a nomadic-by-car level would involve giving up a lot.

Also, space requirements vary by culture. Americans trend towards more space, but folk who've lived in poverty or come from large families will need less.

Outside of America, there are places where it is perfectly normal for all 20+ relatives to sleep in the same room. (Or folks on the fronteir, 200 years back.)

Personally, right now I'd be happy with someplace where I could have a kitchen and bathroom, but if living by myself I wouldn't need much space. And the more rooms you add, the pricier it gets.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 09:34 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
>>One is physical.<<

Huh, like fish. 1 gallon of water per inch of fish in the tank. I wonder what the rate of cubic feet to mass-of-human would be.

>>Here, there's almost nothing left of privacy...<<

Conversely, privacy doesn't solve everything. I've had people not want to deal with me in a bad mood...then complain I'm always hiding somewhere (because I'm upset and/or don't want to fight with folks). And our discussions about fixing things...don't really help.

>>I think they'll wind up like trailer courts, ...<<

So then we ask "What is the least bad alternative?"

...at least with a house you have access to a bed and toileting facilities.

>>As long as someone is happy with their home, it's fine.<<

Who knows? Maybe I'll be miserable living by myself in a tinier home. But if so, it will at least involve different problems.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-02 02:30 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
So it sounds like if height of person is h:

2h^2

Adding multiple people (p), we get:

2hp^2

Adding in cubic space (9ft ceilings):

(2hp^2)9

I think... I'm not perfect with math, and Algebra has been awhile...

But square footage = persons height, doubled than squared sems consistant. (So I'd need, what, a minimum of 11-12ft^2, I guess.)

>>For mental health, it's better if a residence has divisions of space.<<

I once was invited to visit someone who juryrigged around this by hanging bedsheets from the ceiling, to subdivide the house.

>>They're just into dominance games. If they are genuinely nice to each other, they may be worth emulating. If not, fuck 'em, do what makes you happy and comfortable.<<

I think there are gender and age demographics in play.

One tries to advise me...but doesn't seem to get what I am upset about a lot.

Also, given our respective genders, my lower willingness/ability to do emotional labor and their lack of skill in it may be an issue.

The other person and I have difficultly-compatible personalities to begin with, and then she decided to bond with me in the one area I'd said Absolutely Not to.

And then it's my fault for flying of the handle, and I have the feeling she'd flip out if I did the exact same thing to her. Which I haven't because manners. (Barring safety issues.)

So now theres issues around that, and people complain about the issues. And then aren't helpful if I try to fix them. ("Don't do [baby step that inconveniences me] do [bigger step that fizzled the last time you tried.]")

Yeah, I know the situation isn't great.

>>Least bad alternative in what range?<<

I've done volunteering that essentially amounts to 'unpaid teacher/social worker.'

Between that and [waves hands] everything, I'm basically mentally in emergency triage mode.

Fix this, next thing. Do this, next thing. Hallelujah, someone had a clue and provided quality resources for the thing, so I can scrap my half-assed juryrigging. Next thing...

I can't fix America as a whole. I can't even fix my own life as a whole. But I can try to do one thing at a time and hand of what I can't deal with [lack of spoons or resources] to folks who can.

>>...because many homeless people are homeless because they don't find the strings attached to society bearable.<<

Some parts of society are...annoying.

>>:D Now that is an awesome approach. Make exciting new mistakes! Hey, it's how we run our relationship, and it's lasted a couple decades.<<

Congratulations to you!

Thanks for the approval.

At least one of my current issues likely won't be fixed unless I leave, and leaving it unfixed would be bad.

Of course the what-might-have-beens are disappointing, but no point inviting your ghosts in for tea, so to speak.

>>If you have guests, do you want them in what amounts to you bedroom? Most people wouldn't.<<

Of course this assumes you will /have/ guests. Some people like entertaining out, and some just hate people.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 01:30 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] fianna9
If you want geologically stable there are areas in the Dakotas especially around Mount Rushmore that are expected to be around/stable for a long time. There was a program on History Channel: Aftermath: Population Zero that talked about what areas and objects will last.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 01:38 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
If moving there, I'd suggest being friendly to the local First Nations folks...

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 02:02 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Oh, the badasses I hang out with aren't /bikers/.

I'm thinking like a woman-socialized person who has traveled and is friends with travelers (for both recreation and survival).

So I'm thinking in terms of local knowledge of resources and threats, tapping into social networks and alliances, possible sharing of intelligence/resources, and the fact that being nice/kind/polite will often open doors (especially when everyone else is a horse's ass) combined with /the full awareness that you are not a hero just for being kind/.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 03:39 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I have actually thought it might be interesting to list all the films where someone saves the world with a tiny overlooked kindness.

(You adopt a foundling, vouch for one of your best friends, try to offer advice to an ancestral enemy, let a family with small kids shelter during a disaster, shoot as a warning not an execution, look at someone and see their personhood...) And all of these are from actual movies I've seen.

I think there are some lists of stories from real life too. How many people are saved by passerby, or firemen, or tow truck drivers, or teachers, or their friends' parents, or the kid who asked for two lunches to feed a friend...?

Heck, they only started teaching CPR to us civvies after paramedics kept noticing folks trying CPR they'd learned from tv.

And while I don't know if you've saved anyone's life (though I think it is a strong possiblity) I've learned a bunch from reading your works, and been able to pass along useful resources and information to other people. So you're a hero and role model too.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 03:28 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] fianna9
Definitely. Anyone who knows the area and the local food supply should automatically be respected.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 01:55 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] fianna9
Both programs are interesting looking at possible futures.

Another area to look at is along the Appalachian Mountains in its entirety. Those mountains are old and fairly stable, and there are a variety of terrains with different water and soil compositions. There are people there who are also fairly adept at surviving so you can pick up tricks from them.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 02:16 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] fianna9
I have relatives from the area so I fit in with my "my Grandmother was a Call so I'm your fourth cousin twice removed" so that part was already covered. If things are get that bad bringing in some skills you can swap with them can help bridge that gap.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 02:49 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] fianna9
Also keep in mind when I say to check out the Appalachian mountains in its entirety as fairly solid ground I'm not just talking about the Virgina/West Virginia/Tennessee/Kentucky area most people think about. The Appalachian Mountains run from the Deep South up to New England. They frame the Adirondacks to the East and South. For instance the Appalachian Trail runs from Georgia to Maine. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Appalachian_Trail. That's a lot of territory where you can hopefully find a climate and people you are comfortable with.

My family on one side is Virgina/West Virginia/coal country born and bred; where people moved in and rarely ever leave. If you've ever watched the tv show Justified they do a decent job displaying that area; my mother thought it was fairly accurate.

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 03:15 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] fianna9
You can tag entire areas of the country as rural/reservations just looking at that map without even knowing for certain where the physical borders are. You can also easily find the areas no one lives in in the Great PLains.

The northern part of Western Virginia (not West Virginia) isn't a bad place for many people to look although it's been growing like crazy with people moving out of D.C. and the suburbs there. Lot of small towns and small farm areas. Pennsylvania also has those small farm areas especially if you can find something nearby to the Amish and Mennonites.

A big thing to check out is the zoning laws and building permits where you're looking to move. When my family first moved to a rural Illinois county my father was shocked that the only thing inspected in construction was plumbing. Not electrical.

Finding an area zoned for livestock makes having chickens, goats, bees, etc. much easier to maintain without as much hassle. You can trade the eggs, meat, wool, honey and milk to others for supplies and items you can't produce on your own. Having these things established before everything goes bottoms up means you've worked out the bugs while you can get outside support.
Edited Date: 2021-05-01 03:34 am (UTC)

Re: Thoughts

Date: 2021-05-01 02:26 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Also (and I /NEVER/ hear anyone discuss this): be sure to plan for population demographics.

If I need to flee, say, NYC by myself, I can go pretty much anywhere, including Appalchia, though I'll want to be careful on dark rods and in bars. And I could hole up in a rural area, if I had a local connection, i.e. church, friends, relatives. (I am a pretty white woman.)

If I'm traveling with nonwhite American friends, I'll have to rely on their threat assessments, but I can pretty sure cross off jaunting through Appalachia and some of the more rural South. Suburbs or cities would be safer, but also might have more damage depending on the exact disaster. Our end destination would likely be a larger town or city.

If I'm travelling with nonwhite immigrants, then I say several swearwords and try to figure out what is least dangerous, while running threat assessments I haven't lived. Still likely travel via more populous areas, and end destination with almost certainty would have to be a large city (b/c language limitations and/or less common religious preferences of my traveling companions.) Hopefully some of the people will have American-less-common skills like MacGyvering...

Related: networks. Ask about kin networks, look up local church-or-equivalent of any religion you've got in the group, ask if anyone has a local friend who might have advice or a couch or whatever.

And when you pick your 'face person' and 'requisitioning supplies people' try to choose people who will blend in, get along with locals and not get shot or assaulted for existing in a public place.

...yeah, sometimes you'll need to take the path of least risk, which is still too dangerous for me to be happy about.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-04-30 11:30 pm (UTC)
erulisse: (Default)
From: [personal profile] erulisse
When we were making the decision to relocate we looked at a few things:

- what is the general risk of flooding and is that likely to change as the climate shifts?
- is there access to a reasonably robust food supply?
- what kind of job market is there?
- what is the cost of living like? if it's higher, are there public services and/or a safety net that offset that somewhat?
- what is the climate like? what do projections say the climate will be like in thirty years?
- what is the risk of other disasters?

Where we ended up is a small town in upstate New York about an hour north of Albany city center. It is a little past the edge of anything that could be considered urban/suburban sprawl but comfortable commuting distance to some of the nearer suburbs, which is where I am currently working. This also means that we have good access to most city amenities within an hour drive but we also live close to a number of working farms and orchards and the local food situation is quite robust. The next town over has an independent butcher and grocery that sells all kinds of local products and that is where we do a significant amount of our shopping (including awesome local milk in returnable glass bottles!) but another couple miles down the road are big box groceries for everything else. There is some risk of flood here because the town we are in is on the the Hudson River but we are also upstream far enough that the risk is relatively limited (and certainly significantly less than what we were facing in Houston!) There is snow here and occasionally it dumps a significant amount (we had a storm the second week of December where we got thirty inches in eight hours) but overall we feel we found a good balance between risks and benefits. It's definitely a good bit better than what we left in Texas in many ways. (There are still bugs other than mosquitoes here, which our neighborhood in Houston had lost most of due to proximity to the ship channel).

(no subject)

Date: 2021-05-02 09:32 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
Up state NY sounds beautiful. I can't imagine Houston. I found the highways intimidating when we were there on a bus trip not to mention the power grid problems and hurricanes. Your list is very helpful. I'm going to need to go back to work, so the job market is something I need to take into account. I don't think I'm going to be able to flee this before this hurricane season peaks, but hopefully this will be my last one.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-05-02 10:05 pm (UTC)
erulisse: (Default)
From: [personal profile] erulisse
We are really liking it so far.

Houston had its compensations - the neighborhood we were in was pretty walkable and had a lot of good independent restaurants and things as well as a board game café two blocks from our house. It also has an amazing symphony and opera and a lot of other cool big city stuff. I don't regret the time we spent there but I don't miss Houston traffic or hurricane season and I'm glad we were able to leave when we did.

(no subject)

Date: 2021-05-02 11:27 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
I'm glad you're liking it so far. I've had a lot of change lately, which of course, is stressful. It's nice to hear that people are having positive change in their lives.

Re: Well ...

Date: 2021-05-03 03:51 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
I bookmarked these, thank you. I hate moving. These look very helpful.

Re: Well ...

Date: 2021-05-03 10:26 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
Thank you. :-)

I'm starting to think I need to get out of here sooner rather than later. Our fool of a governor just signed an executive order that's going to endanger more people, because he doesn't seem to understand how the vaccine works. I was beginning to feel like I could get out a tiny bit more, but not now. I'm so glad that I got a haircut and my toes done today. This is only the third professional haircut that I got in the last year plus. And I hadn't got my toes done for well over a year. This is stupid even for the fool in the governor's mansion. I wish more people had the brains of the San Francisco community. Definitely can't live there, but they've got 70% of their population vaccinated. That's pretty close to herd immunity. We're not even close to that here. And now he's telling people just go out and trust the vaccine even though we don't have near enough people vaccinated. It's crazy.

Re: Well ...

Date: 2021-05-04 04:21 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I think if I remember my history and demographics right, a significant chunk of the older folks in San Fransisco remembers the last Great Drama of the '80s. And a lot of the younger folk are very science-minded...

Re: Well ...

Date: 2021-05-05 09:31 pm (UTC)
siberian_skys: (Default)
From: [personal profile] siberian_skys
That's what I remember about SF and the 80s.

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